Tag Archives: betting tips

Race-by-race preview and tips for Hawkesbury on Thursday

Track: Good 4 and rail out 2m from 1100m to 450m and True the remainder.

**RACE 1**

6. Falcon Lair is a tough improver from the Annabel and Rob Archibald stable, primed to break through at only his third start. He has twice hit the line late into a place, the latest here three weeks ago when backed from $4.40 into $3.40.

8. The Pearls has had two runs back from a break for the Chris Waller yard and will relish the extra furlong.

9. Villa Castina is an improving filly and the third of the Archibald-trained runners who ran home okay late first-up at this track.

1. Tommy Thug is naturally better over further, but still a long-priced betting watch resuming off two trials for a leading stable.

**How to play it:** Falcon Lair to win.

**RACE 2**

2. Perfect Justice is a well-bred four-year-old who can return off a 19-week spell with a bang for the John Sargent yard. Given two progressive Randwick trials, winning the latest over 1050m, this looks a lovely starting trip for a galloper who can be very competitive beyond 2000m in late spring. He didn’t handle heavy ground when tackling a Group 2 as a three-year-old in the autumn.

1. Strawberry Impact is a talented home tracker bursting to win a second race second-up. Came from last to beat all bar the winner here 19 days ago, and naturally, the extra furlong is a big plus.

3. Tambeloa is a lightly raced and talented colt resuming off a quiet trial. Big gap to the rest, headed by 7. Yes I Win who swept home to claim an average maiden on debut at Canberra despite being friendless in betting.

**How to play it:** Perfect Justice to win.

**RACE 3**

5. I Am Adonis is an exciting colt switching states off a 20-week break for just his second start. He debuted in late autumn at Caulfield when failing to run home in a Saturday two-year-old race after not getting things to suit. Given plenty of time since, winkers go on here, and fitted with a dominant trial win. Just needs to find cover from an awkward draw to be the one to beat.

6. Invincible Phantom is a big watch resuming from the inside draw off two trials for the Bjorn Baker stable.

9. Young Mister Grace is a colt by Anders from the local Brad Widdup yard and has been readied with two easy trials.

10. Billabong is an emerging filly who reloads 13 days after failing to hit the line in heavy going at Kembla on debut, and can improve on much firmer ground, with a significant jockey change.

Big gap to the rest headed by honest local 1. Everybody Rise second-up who can add value into trifecta and first four plays.

**How to play it:** I Am Adonis to win.

**RACE 4**

5. Miss Joy is a four-year-old mare trained on the course and represents terrific value at big odds on debut wearing blinkers. She has been taken along slowly with two recent trials, the latest good through the line at Wyong over 1000m. Drawn to get a handy enough run, and will be strong late being by Group 3 mile winner Proisir.

3. Greyt Thinker is an improver drawn to be in the finish second-up, and likely to jump favourite.

7. Hard Jakka had no luck on debut at Wyong before failing to hit the line in deeper maiden company at Canterbury.

1. Corpartner Pegasus, a four-year-old by Castelvecchio, on debut at home well into double figure odds, and fellow home tracker 9. Pawa who can improve off a fair country debut; both are capable of running into the minor money; while stablemate of the top selection 12. Bondi Blossom heads the rest.

**How to play it:** Miss Joy each way.

**RACE 5**

6. Extravagant Choice is a tough and underrated six-year-old well-placed to strike second-up over a bit further. He hit the line hard into a place when resuming in a handy country BM 66 under a big weight, and while this is tougher, the extra furlong and bigger track are plusses. Gets a huge 8.5kg weight drop after the jockeys claim.

1. Show County is a progressive and local dry tracker who will be hard to stop from an ideal draw 25 days after a tough BM 64 win at Wyong.

4. Tavalo is a sparingly raced mare who disappointed first-up in an Open Federal at Canberra, but fitter now, she can improve sharply on firmer ground.

5. Cape Byron is a similar improver second-up over more ground; while 2. Duke of Camden is the best of the rest and can figure in the minor money.

**How to play it:** Extravagant Choice to win.

**RACE 6**

9. Call Me Magnifique is a talented four-year-old who swept home for a dominant CL1 win second-up at Wyong 26 days ago. Bit tougher here, but drawn to get early cover off speed, and further boosted with the early favourite being preferred at Warwick Farm on Wednesday.

6. Omnic is a third-up improver from a softer draw over more ground.

4. Monty Be Quick is over the odds fourth-up from the inside draw, while 8. Affermato fourth-up is a minor money contender.

**How to play it:** Call Me Magnifique to win.

**RACE 7**

9. Nepo Baby is a smart filly who can take the step up from maiden success and make it two from two to announce her career, and cap a big day for the Archibald stable. Gave nothing else a chance from the front on debut at Scone over the same distance, and a stronger claiming jockey takes over here. Headed for much better races, and this only a moderate line-up for the grade. Scratched from Warwick Farm on Wednesday to run here.

1. Still Alice draws to get an economical run third-up, and can run the quinella.

4. Chica Del Mar is a talented mare and market watch resuming for a shrewd Scone stable behind two trials.

Doubt anything else can win, but include both locally trained 5. Twinkling Star second-up and 6. Grande Bellezza coming off back-to-back wins in weaker country races, in wider exotics.

**How to play it:** Nepo Baby to win.

**RACE 8**

1. Battle Hymn is a lightly raced and promising four-year-old returning for his first run since late February. Has to get over from the outside barrier, but fitted with two progressive trials, and thrashed weaker country opposition on debut early this year.

5. Narcissist looms as the value second-up off a dominant maiden win here.

2. Believe In Angels also draws out, but progressive enough in this lineup to be in the finish second-up.

3. Jambalaya is dropping in grade deep into the prep.

8. Lady Shenanigans third-up off a tough win here in similar company.

10. Sumo Star improving second-up back on dry ground.

All are capable of figuring in the money.

**How to play it:** Battle Hymn to win.

### BEST BETS:

– **R6:** 9. Call Me Magnifique
– **R7:** 9. Nepo Baby

### BEST VALUE:

– **R5:** 6. Extravagant Choice

*Supplied by Racing NSW*
Full form and race replays available at [racingnsw.com.au](https://www.racingnsw.com.au).
https://www.theage.com.au/sport/racing/race-by-race-preview-and-tips-for-hawkesbury-on-thursday-20250924-p5mxm2.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed

Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Prediction and Betting Tips | 21st September 2025

The 2025-26 edition of La Liga is back in action this weekend, featuring an important encounter as Mallorca lock horns with Diego Simeone’s Atletico Madrid at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix on Sunday. Both teams have experienced contrasting fortunes over the past year and will be eager to secure a win in this matchup.

### Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Preview

Mallorca currently sit in 19th place in the La Liga standings and have struggled to make a significant impact so far this season. The home side suffered a narrow 3-2 defeat at the hands of Espanyol last week and will need to work hard to bounce back in this fixture.

Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, are positioned 11th in the league table at the moment. The team has been inconsistent throughout the season. In their previous game, Los Colchoneros faced a 3-2 defeat against Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League and will be looking to prove their mettle this weekend.

### Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

Atletico Madrid boast an excellent recent record against Mallorca, having won 17 of the last 35 matches played between the two sides, compared to Mallorca’s nine victories.

Notably, Mallorca have won six of their last 11 home matches against Atletico Madrid in La Liga — matching the number of wins they had achieved in the 19 such games prior to this run.

Atletico Madrid have won each of their last five La Liga encounters against Mallorca and have a chance to secure six consecutive victories against them for only the second time in the history of the competition.

Additionally, Mallorca have failed to find the back of the net in their last four La Liga matches against Atletico Madrid, highlighting the defensive strength of the visitors.

### Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Atletico Madrid have yet to hit their stride this season and cannot afford any slip-ups going into this game. Marcos Llorente, who scored a brace in the previous match, will be looking to make an impact once again this weekend.

Meanwhile, Mallorca have fallen short of expectations and will need to be at their very best to challenge Atletico. Given the current form and head-to-head statistics, Atletico Madrid appear to be the stronger side and are expected to secure the victory.

**Prediction:** Mallorca 1-3 Atletico Madrid

### Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips

– **Tip 1:** Atletico Madrid to win
– **Tip 2:** Over 2.5 goals in the game
– **Tip 3:** Atletico Madrid to score first

Get ready for an exciting clash this Sunday as Mallorca and Atletico Madrid battle it out in what promises to be a thrilling La Liga encounter!
https://www.sportskeeda.com/football/mallorca-vs-atletico-madrid-prediction-betting-tips-21st-september-2025