Category Archives: politics

Congress slams Centre over delay in relief for rain-hit farmers in Maharashtra

The opposition party has accused the government of delaying aid to rain-hit farmers in Maharashtra, attributing the hold-up to bureaucratic processes.

Maharashtra Congress chief Harshwardhan Sapkal strongly criticized the BJP for its indifference towards the farmers’ plight. He urged the government to provide immediate relief without waiting for a formal proposal from the state.

https://www.mid-day.com/news/india-news/article/maharashtra-floods-centre-delaying-financial-aid-to-rain-hit-farmers-in-state-alleges-congress-23597456

Trump defies court order; deploys National Guard to Oregon, Chicago

**Trump Defies Court Order; Deploys National Guard to Oregon and Chicago**

*By Snehil Singh | October 6, 2025, 10:57 AM*

United States President Donald Trump has defied a federal court order by deploying National Guard troops to Portland, Oregon, and Chicago, Illinois. This move follows a judge’s temporary block on the deployment of 200 troops to Oregon.

California Governor Gavin Newsom condemned the decision, announcing plans to sue and describing the action as “un-American” and “a breathtaking abuse of the law and power.”

### Deployment Details

President Trump authorized the deployment of 300 National Guard troops to Chicago to address what he called “out-of-control crime.” The decision came after clashes between immigration authorities and protesters in Chicago, where officials reported that an armed woman was shot following allegations that she and others rammed their cars into police vehicles.

Meanwhile, the Pentagon confirmed that 200 members of the California National Guard were reassigned to Portland in support of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and other federal personnel. Oregon Governor Tina Kotek confirmed that 101 California National Guard members had already arrived in Oregon.

### Lack of Communication and Local Opposition

Governor Kotek revealed that there was no official communication from the federal government regarding the deployment. She emphasized, “There is no need for military intervention in Oregon. There is no insurrection in Portland. No threat to national security.”

The California National Guard had been federally activated in June for a 90-day period as part of President Trump’s broader strategy to combat rising crime and assist with deportation efforts. The California Department of Justice confirmed that the Trump administration sought to extend this federalization for an additional 90 days.

### Ongoing Protests and Political Context

Protests continue in Portland and other cities in response to the Trump administration’s increased immigration enforcement. Portland is noted for having a significant presence of Antifa activists—a loosely organized group of far-left activists. Recently, President Trump signed an executive order designating Antifa as a domestic terrorist organization.

### Reactions from Illinois Leadership

The Illinois governor accused President Trump of “manufacturing a crisis” by deploying troops, suggesting the move is politically motivated rather than based on actual public safety needs.

The deployment of National Guard troops to Portland and Chicago marks a contentious escalation in the ongoing tensions between federal authorities and local governments, highlighting deep divisions over immigration enforcement and public safety strategies.
https://www.newsbytesapp.com/news/world/trump-defies-court-sends-national-guard-troops-to-oregon-chicago/story

Strikes begin at 2 Center City Philadelphia hotels

Strikes have begun at two Center City Philadelphia hotels, as workers demand better workplace protections and fair wages ahead of next year’s celebrations for America’s 250th anniversary.

Union contracts at nine hotels in the city have expired, according to UNITE HERE Local 274, which represents more than 4,000 hotel and food workers at Philadelphia’s stadiums, hotels, and airports. Workers started walking the picket lines at the Sheraton Philadelphia Downtown, located at 17th and Race streets, and the Hampton Inn Philadelphia Center City-Convention Center, at 13th and Race streets, beginning at 5 a.m. Sunday, according to the union’s website.

The union notes that labor disputes could occur at any time at the following hotels:

– Hilton Garden Inn Center City
– The Warwick Hotel Rittenhouse Square
– Sonesta Hotel Philadelphia
– Wyndham Philadelphia Historic District
– Hilton Philadelphia at Penn’s Landing
– Sheraton Hotel Philadelphia University City

Additionally, a contract with food and beverage workers at Philadelphia International Airport Terminals B and F has also expired.

“During a strike, regular employees will not be there to scrub the toilets, change the sheets, cook the food, or take out the trash,” the union’s website states. “Picket lines, which involve chanting, loud drumming, and other noise, may persist for 24 hours per day.”

The Sheraton Downtown is owned by Miami-based investor Cambridge Landmark, while the Hampton Inn Center City is owned by Blackstone’s real estate investment trust, BREIT.

Back in July, workers picketed outside the Sheraton demanding “respect, fair wages, and humane staffing levels.” One worker described the situation as “extremely stressful,” noting that the hotel has been operating without a union contract for at least a year and that vacant positions were being filled with temporary workers.

Philadelphia is preparing to host several large-scale events next year in honor of America’s semiquincentennial, including the MLB All-Star Game, the PGA Championship, and the first and second rounds of the NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Championship. The FIFA World Cup will also feature matches in Philadelphia next year.

These major events are expected to draw 500,000 visitors and generate an estimated $770 million impact on the local economy.

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https://www.phillytrib.com/news/local_news/strikes-begin-at-2-center-city-philadelphia-hotels/article_19345a7b-f195-40d0-aa2d-8c28d5ce248a.html

Rule Of Law Vs Rule By Force

The principal characteristic of the Indian Constitution is the rule of law it mandates. This foundational principle envisions that the law, established under the constitutional framework, holds primacy over all other considerations—be they individual, ideological, or political. It is the bedrock that ensures we are a nation governed by laws, not by men.

This ideal, however, has faced a starkly modern challenge: the rise of ‘bulldozer justice’. In states like Uttar Pradesh, governments have employed strong-arm methods, using machinery to raze homes and properties of individuals deemed suspects, bypassing the judicial process entirely. This practice conflates accusation with guilt and allows the executive to act as judge, jury, and executioner.

It creates a dangerous precedent where the government of the day believes it can operate outside the sanctity of established legal procedure. What began as a political theatre of “instant justice” has now become an instrument of fear and selective punishment, often targeting minorities or dissenters.

It is against this backdrop that Chief Justice of India BR Gavai’s recent remarks in Mauritius carry profound significance. Defending his own verdict, he emphatically stated that the Indian legal system is governed by the “rule of law, not by the rule of the bulldozer.” The Supreme Court’s ruling, which held that such demolitions violate the rule of law and infringe upon the fundamental right to shelter, was a necessary and powerful corrective.

It reaffirmed that the executive’s authority is not absolute but is circumscribed by constitutional morality and judicial oversight. This judicial stance is deeply rooted in our constitutional history, notably the Kesavananda Bharati case, which established that the Constitution’s basic structure is immutable.

While not exhaustively defined, this structure is undeniably animated by the principles enshrined in the Preamble—Justice, Liberty, Equality, and Fraternity. ‘Bulldozer justice’ assaults each of these ideals, substituting the rule of reason with the rule of muscle.

Yet, a sobering reality remains. The courts often move at a deliberate pace, granting the executive considerable leeway to act in the interim. This temporal gap between executive action and judicial redress can render the latter a pyrrhic victory for those whose homes and rights are instantly demolished. The damage is done long before the court’s pen can restore what the bulldozer’s blade destroyed.

Therefore, the judiciary’s role is not just to settle matters but to set boundaries—clearly, promptly, and fearlessly. As Justice Gavai articulated, the rule of law is not a rigid doctrine but a continuous conversation—a substantive principle that restrains arbitrary power and embeds democratic accountability.

In defending the Constitution against the bulldozer, the Supreme Court is defending the very idea of India as a democratic republic where no one is above the law.
https://www.freepressjournal.in/analysis/rule-of-law-vs-rule-by-force

Forging unity in foreign affairs: Diplomacy, security and national development

Tonight marks a milestone—40 years of the Philippine Council for Foreign Relations (PCFR). But this is more than a celebration of longevity. It is a reaffirmation of a shared commitment to the future of our nation in an ever-changing world.

The PCFR was born in 1985, in a time of national transition. Fifteen visionaries—among them

https://business.inquirer.net/550882/forging-unity-in-foreign-affairs-diplomacy-security-and-national-development

Hamas starts gathering hostage remains, confirms decision to gradually disarm – report

Hamas Begins Gathering Hostage Remains, Confirms Decision to Gradually Disarm

Hamas has started collecting the remains of hostages, confirming its decision to gradually disarm, according to recent reports. The terror organization has also reportedly requested, through Egyptian mediators, that the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) temporarily cease airstrikes in the Gaza Strip to allow the process to be completed.

In a related development, on February 22, 2025, children were seen looking out from a building guarded by Palestinian Hamas terrorists during the handover of hostages in the Gaza Strip.

Photo credit: REUTERS/Hatem Khaled

https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-869534

State should help farmers, not take from them: Sharad Pawar

Sharad Pawar has expressed concern over the major losses suffered by farmers across the state due to heavy rains. He criticized the state government’s decision to forcibly recover funds from sugarcane producers for the Chief Minister’s Relief Fund, calling it “completely wrong.” Pawar urged the Chief Minister to reconsider this decision and emphasized the need for proper damage assessment and government support for the affected farmers.

According to Pawar, “Farmers and crops have suffered significant losses due to excessive rainfall. Data from the Vasantdada Sugar Institute shows that sugarcane crops have been severely damaged in many areas of Marathwada and Western Maharashtra.” He added that a detailed assessment of the damage is necessary.

Pawar also mentioned that a Governing Council meeting, which will include all sugar factories in the state, is scheduled for the 12th. He expressed hope that the state government would provide maximum assistance to farmers following this meeting, as reported by ANI.

Meanwhile, Maharashtra Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis defended the state government’s decision to impose a levy on sugar mills. He clarified that the contribution would be taken from the profits of the mills and not from the farmers’ earnings, according to PTI.

Last week, in response to the heavy rainfall and flood-related losses across parts of Maharashtra, the government announced a levy of Rs 10 per tonne of sugarcane on mills for the Chief Minister’s Relief Fund, along with an additional Rs 5 per tonne to assist flood-affected farmers.

Opposition leaders have alleged that this decision will adversely affect farmers. However, speaking at an event at a sugar factory, CM Fadnavis stated, “There are around 200 mills in the state. One mill may have to contribute about Rs 25 lakh to the CMRF. We are seeking funds from the profits of sugar mills, not from farmers,” reported PTI.

(With ANI and PTI)
https://www.mid-day.com/news/india-news/article/maharashtra-floods-state-should-help-farmers-not-take-from-them-says-ncp-sp-chief-sharad-pawar-23597312

Trump’s blurry path to peace

In the volatile landscape of Middle East politics, two seismic events unfolded in late September, reshaping narratives around Israel’s war on Gaza.

On September 26, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivered a fiery address to the United Nations General Assembly, vowing to block Palestinian statehood amid walkouts by dozens of delegates. Three days later, on September 29, U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled a 21-point peace plan following a White House meeting with Netanyahu, proposing an end to the Gaza violence, hostage release, and a potential pathway to Palestinian statehood.

The new proposal marks a significant shift in Washington’s stance. It is a major change from February, when President Trump shocked the world by suggesting the U.S. could take over Gaza, build a Riviera, and permanently relocate its two million people. In a transformative step toward Gaza’s revival, residents will have the freedom to choose their path, with no one forced to leave their homeland. Those who wish to depart will be free to do so and return at their discretion, while a bold initiative encourages Gazans to stay and shape a brighter future.

Israel will neither occupy nor annex Gaza, paving the way for a transformative era of redevelopment and self-governance. Hamas and similar groups will have no role in Gaza’s future administration, ensuring a focus on stability and progress. A newly formed technocratic, apolitical Palestinian committee, backed by international experts, will manage essential public services and municipal operations, ensuring stability and support for the region’s people.

To complement this effort, President Trump will spearhead an ambitious economic development plan, assembling a panel of experts behind the Middle East’s thriving modern cities. The plan’s suggestion of a potential path to a future Palestinian state—after Gaza is rebuilt and the Palestinian Authority undergoes reforms—also represents a major departure from the Trump administration’s previous refusal to endorse a two-state solution.

Some analysts argue that the proposed 21-point plan outlines a pathway to Palestinian statehood that is so heavily conditional it appears watered down to the point of being largely theoretical. While it represents a rhetorical evolution from the Trump administration’s earlier musings on relocating Gaza’s population, statehood is presented not as a right or a guaranteed outcome, but as a distant reward contingent on meeting a series of vaguely defined and immensely challenging prerequisites.

A transitional government led by a technocratic, apolitical Palestinian committee will soon take shape to stabilize and rebuild Gaza. This initiative will be guided by the newly established Board of Peace, an international transitional body tasked with setting the strategic framework and securing funding for Gaza’s redevelopment. The board will be chaired by President Trump and could include former UK prime minister Tony Blair.

The committee’s work will continue until the Palestinian Authority completes its reform programme. The proposal—developed mainly by U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff and expected to be refined further—contains several provisions that Israel has long wanted. However, the suggestion of a pathway to a future Palestinian state goes against the stated position of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. His statement to the UN General Assembly leaves no room for interpretation:

“Giving the Palestinians a state one mile from Jerusalem after October 7 is like giving Al Qaeda a state one mile from New York City after September 11. This is sheer madness. It’s insane and we won’t do it. Israel will not allow you to shove a terror state down our throats.”

These developments highlight a high-stakes diplomatic tightrope between Netanyahu’s unyielding security-first stance and Trump’s deal-oriented vision. By sidelining the Palestinian Authority and declaring no tolerance for Hamas, the plan risks undermining the most credible foundation for a future state.

Its foundational steps—creating a de-radicalized, terror-free Gaza under an interim technocratic government—are not mere procedural hurdles but the core of the quagmire. These demands, including the massive undertaking of disarming Hamas and a complex de-radicalization process of a traumatised nation, rely on an untested international force and a long-term peace that does not yet exist.

Mushtaq Shah, Pakistan’s former ambassador to Jordan and Egypt, acknowledges the selective ambiguity of the plan. “It is vague enough to allow for broad interpretation, even manipulation, during implementation. Much remains to be negotiated,” he tells The News on Sunday. Despite its shortcomings, Ambassador Shah describes the initiative as a vital lifeline for Palestinians facing relentless violence. “Anything that can help end the bloodshed and allow humanitarian aid to reach people is welcome,” he stresses.

Later, in meetings in New York with U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff and adviser Jared Kushner, Netanyahu secured key revisions on disarmament. While last week’s draft offered amnesty to Hamas members pledging peaceful coexistence, the updated plan requires them to surrender. It also strengthens language mandating the destruction and cessation of all offensive military capability.

The updated plan includes a map outlining three phases of Israeli withdrawal. Israel Defence Forces (IDF) will still control most of Gaza after the so-called first withdrawal until an International Stabilisation Force arrives to oversee Hamas’s disarmament. After the second phase, Israel will retain more than a third of the Gaza Strip. Even after the final phase of full withdrawal, Israel will retain a permanent security buffer along Gaza’s perimeter.

The revised plan conditions each withdrawal stage on standards and milestones tied to demilitarisation, effectively allowing Israel to delay its exit until Gaza is deemed secure. If Hamas delays or rejects the plan, it will proceed in terror-free areas, which the IDF will hand over to the International Stabilisation Force.

While it proposes new leaders committed to peace, regional security guarantees, and new security forces to replace Hamas, the fundamental question remains: who will govern Gaza?

Ambassador Javed Hafiz argues that while Israel and the U.S. can dismantle Hamas’s visible structure, the group will survive as a potent ideological force, much like Hezbollah. The stated goal of disarmament may, in practice, only reduce its military capacity to a level Israel finds manageable rather than achieving total elimination.

The alternative, the Mahmoud Abbas-led Palestinian Authority, is widely seen by Gazans as corrupt, illegitimate, and ineffective. Ambassador Hafiz suggests that the most likely — yet fraught — compromise is installing a technocratic government under a transitional authority.

President Trump has tapped former British prime minister Tony Blair for the Gaza interim authority. However, Blair is not trusted by many in the Arab world and the UK due to his controversial role in the Iraq War. This transitional authority will likely include Arab members to provide legitimacy and avoid the appearance of a direct Israeli-American occupation, with Gulf states funding reconstruction.

Its success will depend entirely on its ability to deliver tangible improvements to daily life while navigating the complex pressures of Palestinian politics, Israel, and wary Arab patrons, says Ambassador Hafiz.

The primary focus of Hamas, the Palestinian leadership, and Arab governments is on securing ironclad guarantees against the annexation of Gaza and the West Bank and on restoring Jerusalem’s status, says Ambassador Hafiz. However, the diplomatic maneuvering is starkly disconnected from realities on the ground.

Ambassador Hafiz points out that Israel has already effectively annexed roughly 60 percent of the West Bank through its military control and buffer zones. On July 23, the Knesset approved a bill to impose its sovereignty over the West Bank, a move critics call annexation.

This highlights a stark divide: while international powers oppose such measures, Israel is systematically rendering Gaza uninhabitable to spur a Palestinian exodus and expanding the West Bank settlements. The United States has supported Israel’s position. Its ambassador recently used biblical terms, Judea and Samaria, for the West Bank, tacitly endorsing Israeli territorial claims.

Ambassador Javed Hafiz notes that despite Tel Aviv’s strong desire, annexation of the Jordan Valley is unlikely now. Gaza’s near-total destruction requires an unprecedented, multi-billion-dollar reconstruction effort, involving experts to build a modern urban economy. The process will likely take many years.

The U.S. and Israel may not wish to assign the rebuilding role to the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA). Both have previously sought to undermine the organisation. Coordinating among multiple Arab states with differing priorities and foreign policies will be complex.

Ambassador Hafiz suggests two possibilities: either UNRWA is resuscitated, or Egypt, Turkey, and the Gulf states take the lead. A Middle East-led approach may offer greater regional legitimacy, he says. Ambassador Hafiz emphasises that the Arab world must put their act together to seize this opportunity to rebuild Gaza and foster long-term stability.

The explicit pathway to statehood makes statehood a declared goal in the plan contingent on two vague conditions: advancing Gaza’s redevelopment and implementing Palestinian Authority reforms. This intentional vagueness—failing to define what “advanced” means or specify the required reforms—creates a mechanism effectively allowing statehood to be indefinitely postponed.

The plan commits the U.S. to facilitating a final settlement on issues like borders, Jerusalem, and refugees, but its launch depends on the success of highly ambitious, prior security and governance steps—a sequencing that has historically doomed similar initiatives.

It offers Palestinians a conditional pathway to statehood, requiring them to build a state tailored to Israeli security needs.
https://www.thenews.com.pk/tns/detail/1348319-trumps-blurry-path-to-peace

Trump’s blurry path to peace

In the volatile landscape of Middle East politics, two seismic events unfolded in late September, reshaping narratives around Israel’s war on Gaza.

On September 26, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivered a fiery address to the United Nations General Assembly, vowing to block Palestinian statehood amid a walkout by dozens of delegates. Three days later, on September 29, US President Donald Trump unveiled a 21-point peace plan following a White House meeting with Netanyahu. The proposal aimed to end the Gaza violence, secure hostage release, and establish a potential pathway to Palestinian statehood.

This new proposal marks a significant shift in Washington’s stance. It contrasts sharply with Trump’s February suggestion that the US could take over Gaza, build a Riviera, and permanently relocate its two million residents. Now, in a transformative step toward Gaza’s revival, residents will have the freedom to choose their path, with no one forced to leave their homeland. Those who wish to depart will be free to do so and return at their discretion, while a bold initiative encourages Gazans to stay and shape a brighter future.

Importantly, Israel will neither occupy nor annex Gaza, paving the way for a transformative era of redevelopment and self-governance. Hamas and similar groups will have no role in Gaza’s future administration, ensuring a focus on stability and progress.

A newly formed technocratic, apolitical Palestinian committee, backed by international experts, will manage essential public services and municipal operations, providing stability and support for the region’s people. To complement this effort, President Trump will spearhead an ambitious economic development plan, assembling a panel of experts experienced with the Middle East’s thriving modern cities.

The plan’s suggestion of a potential path to a future Palestinian state—after Gaza is rebuilt and the Palestinian Authority undergoes reforms—also represents a major departure from the Trump administration’s previous refusal to endorse a two-state solution.

### Analysis and Criticism

Some analysts argue that the proposed 21-point plan outlines a pathway to Palestinian statehood so heavily conditional that it appears watered down and largely theoretical. While it marks a rhetorical evolution from earlier musings about relocating Gaza’s population, statehood is presented not as a right or guaranteed outcome, but as a distant reward contingent on meeting a series of vaguely defined and immensely challenging prerequisites.

A transitional government led by the technocratic, apolitical Palestinian committee will soon take shape to stabilize and rebuild Gaza. This initiative will be guided by the newly established Board of Peace—an international transitional body tasked with setting the strategic framework and securing funding for Gaza’s redevelopment. The board will be chaired by President Trump and could include former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair.

The committee’s work will continue until the Palestinian Authority completes its reform program. The proposal, developed mainly by US special envoy Steve Witkoff and expected to be refined further, contains several provisions Israel has long wanted. However, the suggestion of a pathway to a future Palestinian state contradicts Netanyahu’s stated position.

In his UN General Assembly speech, Netanyahu said, “Giving the Palestinians a state one mile from Jerusalem after October 7 is like giving Al Qaeda a state one mile from New York City after September 11. This is sheer madness. It’s insane, and we won’t do it. Israel will not allow you to shove a terror state down our throats.”

### Diplomatic Tightrope and Security Concerns

These developments highlight a high-stakes diplomatic tightrope between Netanyahu’s unyielding security-first stance and Trump’s deal-oriented vision. By sidelining the Palestinian Authority and declaring no tolerance for Hamas, the plan risks undermining the most credible foundation for a future state.

The foundational steps—creating a de-radicalized, terror-free Gaza under an interim technocratic government—are not mere procedural hurdles but the core of the quagmire. These demands, including the massive undertaking of disarming Hamas and a complex de-radicalization process of a traumatized nation, rely on an untested international force and a long-term peace that does not yet exist.

Mushtaq Shah, Pakistan’s former ambassador to Jordan and Egypt, acknowledges the plan’s selective ambiguity. “It is vague enough to allow for broad interpretation, even manipulation, during implementation. Much remains to be negotiated,” he told The News on Sunday. Despite its shortcomings, Ambassador Shah describes the initiative as a vital lifeline for Palestinians facing relentless violence. “Anything that can help end the bloodshed and allow humanitarian aid to reach people is welcome,” he stresses.

### Revisions and Implementation Phases

In meetings in New York with US envoy Steve Witkoff and adviser Jared Kushner, Netanyahu secured key revisions on disarmament. While last week’s draft offered amnesty to Hamas members pledging peaceful coexistence, the updated plan requires them to surrender. It also strengthens language mandating the destruction and cessation of all offensive military capability.

The updated plan includes a map outlining three phases of Israeli withdrawal. Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) will still control most of Gaza after the so-called first withdrawal until an International Stabilization Force arrives to oversee Hamas’s disarmament. After the second phase, Israel will retain more than a third of the Gaza Strip. Even after the final phase of full withdrawal, Israel will maintain a permanent security buffer along Gaza’s perimeter.

The revised plan conditions each withdrawal stage on standards and milestones tied to demilitarization, effectively allowing Israel to delay its exit until Gaza is deemed secure. If Hamas delays or rejects the plan, it will proceed in terror-free areas, which the IDF will hand over to the International Stabilization Force.

While the plan proposes new leaders committed to peace, regional security guarantees, and new security forces to replace Hamas, the fundamental question remains: who will govern Gaza?

### Governance Challenges and Regional Dynamics

Ambassador Javed Hafiz argues that while Israel and the US can dismantle Hamas’s visible structure, the group will survive as a potent ideological force, much like Hezbollah. The goal of disarmament may, in practice, only reduce its military capacity to a level Israel finds manageable rather than achieving total elimination.

The alternative, the Mahmoud Abbas-led Palestinian Authority, is widely seen by Gazans as corrupt, illegitimate, and ineffective. Ambassador Hafiz suggests that the most likely—yet fraught—compromise is installing a technocratic government under a transitional authority.

President Trump has tapped former British Prime Minister Tony Blair for the Gaza interim authority. However, Blair is not trusted by many in the Arab world and the UK due to his controversial role in the Iraq War. The transitional authority will likely include Arab members to provide legitimacy and avoid the appearance of direct Israeli-American occupation, with Gulf states funding reconstruction.

Its success will depend entirely on its ability to deliver tangible improvements to daily life while navigating the complex pressures of Palestinian politics, Israel, and wary Arab patrons, says Ambassador Hafiz.

### Broader Political Context

The primary focus of Hamas, the Palestinian leadership, and Arab governments is securing ironclad guarantees against the annexation of Gaza and the West Bank and on restoring Jerusalem’s status, says Ambassador Hafiz.

However, the diplomatic maneuvering is starkly disconnected from realities on the ground. Israel has already effectively annexed roughly 60 percent of the West Bank through military control and buffer zones. On July 23, the Knesset approved a bill to impose its sovereignty over the West Bank—a move critics call annexation.

This highlights a stark divide: while international powers oppose such measures, Israel is systematically rendering Gaza uninhabitable to spur a Palestinian exodus and expanding West Bank settlements. The United States has supported Israel’s position. Its ambassador recently used biblical terms, Judea and Samaria, for the West Bank, tacitly endorsing Israeli territorial claims.

Ambassador Javed Hafiz notes that despite Tel Aviv’s strong desire, annexation of the Jordan Valley is unlikely now. Gaza’s near-total destruction requires an unprecedented, multi-billion-dollar reconstruction effort involving experts to build a modern urban economy. The process will likely take many years.

The US and Israel may not wish to assign the rebuilding role to the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA), an organization they have previously sought to undermine. Coordinating among multiple Arab states with differing priorities and foreign policies will be complex.

Ambassador Hafiz suggests two possibilities: either UNRWA is resuscitated, or Egypt, Turkey, and the Gulf states take the lead. A Middle East-led approach may offer greater regional legitimacy, he says. He emphasizes that the Arab world must organize effectively to seize this opportunity to rebuild Gaza and foster long-term stability.

### The Conditional Pathway to Statehood

The plan’s “Explicit Pathway to Statehood” makes statehood a declared goal contingent on two vague conditions: advancing Gaza’s redevelopment and implementing Palestinian Authority reforms. This intentional vagueness—failing to define what “advanced” means or specify the required reforms—creates a mechanism effectively allowing statehood to be indefinitely postponed.

While the plan commits the US to facilitating a final settlement on issues like borders, Jerusalem, and refugees, its launch depends on the success of highly ambitious prior security and governance steps—a sequencing that has historically doomed similar initiatives.

In sum, the plan offers Palestinians a conditional pathway to statehood, requiring them to build a state tailored primarily to Israeli security needs, raising questions about its feasibility and fairness in the long term.
https://www.thenews.com.pk/tns/detail/1348319-trumps-blurry-path-to-peace

Trump’s blurry path to peace

In the volatile landscape of Middle East politics, two seismic events unfolded in late September, reshaping narratives around Israel’s war on Gaza.

On September 26, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivered a fiery address to the United Nations General Assembly, vowing to block Palestinian statehood amid walkouts by dozens of delegates. Three days later, on September 29, U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled a 21-point peace plan following a White House meeting with Netanyahu. The plan proposed an end to the Gaza violence, the release of hostages, and a potential pathway to Palestinian statehood.

This new proposal marks a significant shift in Washington’s stance. It contrasts sharply with President Trump’s February suggestion that the U.S. could take over Gaza, build a “Riviera,” and permanently relocate its two million residents. Instead, the plan emphasizes granting Gazans the freedom to choose their own path, with no one forced to leave their homeland. Those wishing to depart would be free to do so and return at their discretion, while a bold initiative encourages Gazans to stay and help shape a brighter future.

The plan also promises that Israel will neither occupy nor annex Gaza, paving the way for redevelopment and self-governance. Importantly, Hamas and similar groups will have no role in Gaza’s future administration, ensuring a focus on stability and progress. A newly formed technocratic, apolitical Palestinian committee, backed by international experts, would manage essential public services and municipal operations, securing stability and support for the region’s people.

To complement this effort, President Trump committed to spearheading an ambitious economic development plan. He aims to assemble a panel of experts behind the Middle East’s thriving modern cities to guide Gaza’s reconstruction.

Significantly, the plan’s suggestion of a potential path to a future Palestinian state—after Gaza is rebuilt and the Palestinian Authority (PA) undergoes reforms—represents a major departure from the Trump administration’s previous refusal to endorse a two-state solution.

### Conditional Pathway to Statehood

Some analysts argue that the proposed 21-point plan offers a pathway to Palestinian statehood that is so heavily conditional it appears watered down, rendering it largely theoretical. Statehood is presented not as a right or guaranteed outcome, but as a distant reward contingent on meeting a series of vaguely defined and immensely challenging prerequisites.

A transitional government led by a technocratic, apolitical Palestinian committee will soon take shape to stabilize and rebuild Gaza. This initiative will be guided by the newly established Board of Peace, an international transitional body tasked with setting the strategic framework and securing funding for Gaza’s redevelopment. The board will be chaired by President Trump and could include former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair. The committee’s work will continue until the PA completes its reform program.

The plan, developed mainly by U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and expected to be refined further, contains several provisions long demanded by Israel. However, the suggestion of a future Palestinian state conflicts with Netanyahu’s firm stance. In his UN General Assembly speech, Netanyahu stated unequivocally: “Giving the Palestinians a state one mile from Jerusalem after October 7 is like giving Al Qaeda a state one mile from New York City after September 11. This is sheer madness. It’s insane and we won’t do it. Israel will not allow you to shove a terror state down our throats.”

### Diplomatic Tightrope and Core Challenges

These developments highlight a high-stakes diplomatic tightrope between Netanyahu’s unyielding security-first stance and Trump’s deal-oriented vision. By sidelining the PA and declaring zero tolerance for Hamas, the plan risks undermining the most credible foundation for a future Palestinian state.

The foundational steps—creating a de-radicalized, terror-free Gaza under an interim technocratic government—are not mere procedural hurdles but lie at the heart of the quagmire. These demands include the massive undertaking of disarming Hamas and implementing a complex de-radicalization process for a traumatized population. They rely on an untested international force and a long-term peace that does not yet exist.

Mushtaq Shah, Pakistan’s former ambassador to Jordan and Egypt, acknowledges the plan’s selective ambiguity. “It is vague enough to allow for broad interpretation, even manipulation, during implementation. Much remains to be negotiated,” he told The News on Sunday. Despite its shortcomings, Ambassador Shah describes the initiative as a vital lifeline for Palestinians facing relentless violence. “Anything that can help end the bloodshed and allow humanitarian aid to reach people is welcome,” he stresses.

### Key Revisions and Israel’s Security Concerns

During meetings in New York with U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff and adviser Jared Kushner, Netanyahu secured key revisions on the disarmament provisions. While the initial draft offered amnesty to Hamas members pledging peaceful coexistence, the updated plan requires them to surrender. It also strengthens language mandating the destruction and cessation of all offensive military capabilities.

The revised plan includes a map outlining three phases of Israeli withdrawal. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) will maintain control over most of Gaza after the first withdrawal until an International Stabilization Force arrives to oversee Hamas’s disarmament. After the second phase, Israel will retain more than a third of the Gaza Strip. Even after the final phase of full withdrawal, Israel will preserve a permanent security buffer along Gaza’s perimeter.

Each withdrawal stage is conditioned on milestones tied to demilitarization, effectively allowing Israel to delay its exit until Gaza is deemed secure. Should Hamas delay or reject the plan, it will proceed in terror-free areas, which the IDF will hand over to the International Stabilization Force (ISF).

While the plan proposes new leaders committed to peace, regional security guarantees, and new security forces to replace Hamas, the fundamental question remains: who will govern Gaza?

### Governance and Regional Legitimacy

Ambassador Javed Hafiz argues that while Israel and the U.S. may dismantle Hamas’s visible structure, the group will likely survive as a potent ideological force, much like Hezbollah. The goal of disarmament may, in practice, only reduce its military capacity to manageable levels rather than achieve total elimination.

The alternative—the Mahmoud Abbas-led PA—is widely seen by Gazans as corrupt, illegitimate, and ineffective. Ambassador Hafiz suggests that the most likely, yet fraught, compromise is the installation of a technocratic government under a transitional authority.

President Trump has tapped former British Prime Minister Tony Blair to head Gaza’s interim authority. However, Blair is not trusted by many in the Arab world and the UK due to his controversial role in the Iraq War. This transitional authority will likely include Arab members to provide legitimacy and avoid perceptions of a direct Israeli-American occupation, while Gulf states may fund reconstruction.

Its success will hinge entirely on its ability to deliver tangible improvements to daily life while navigating complex pressures from Palestinian politics, Israel, and wary Arab patrons, says Ambassador Hafiz.

### Annexation Concerns and Ground Realities

The primary focus of Hamas, the Palestinian leadership, and Arab governments remains securing ironclad guarantees against annexation of Gaza and the West Bank and on restoring Jerusalem’s special status, says Ambassador Hafiz.

However, diplomatic maneuvering is starkly disconnected from ground realities. Israel has effectively annexed roughly 60 percent of the West Bank through military control and buffer zones. On July 23, the Knesset approved a bill to impose sovereignty over the West Bank—widely viewed as annexation.

This underscores a stark divide: while international powers oppose such measures, Israel is systematically rendering Gaza uninhabitable to spur a Palestinian exodus and expanding settlements in the West Bank.

The United States has supported Israel’s position. Its ambassador recently used biblical terms—Judea and Samaria—for the West Bank, tacitly endorsing Israeli territorial claims.

Ambassador Hafiz notes that despite Tel Aviv’s strong desire, annexation of the Jordan Valley appears unlikely at present. Gaza’s near-total destruction necessitates an unprecedented, multi-billion-dollar reconstruction effort involving experts to build a modern urban economy—a process likely to take many years.

### Reconstruction Leadership and Challenges

The U.S. and Israel may be reluctant to assign the rebuilding role to the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA), given past efforts to undermine the organization.

Coordinating among multiple Arab states, each with differing priorities and foreign policies, will be complex. Ambassador Hafiz suggests two possibilities: either UNRWA is revitalized, or Egypt, Turkey, and Gulf states take the lead in reconstruction. A Middle East-led approach may offer greater regional legitimacy.

He emphasizes that the Arab world must unify to seize the opportunity to rebuild Gaza and foster long-term stability.

### Conclusion: A Conditional and Complex Path Forward

The plan’s explicit pathway to statehood makes this a declared goal contingent on two vague conditions: advancing Gaza’s redevelopment and implementing PA reforms. This intentional vagueness—failing to define “advanced” or specify required reforms—creates a mechanism effectively allowing statehood to be indefinitely postponed.

The plan commits the U.S. to facilitating a final settlement on sensitive issues like borders, Jerusalem, and refugees. However, its launch depends on the success of highly ambitious, prior security and governance steps—a sequencing that has historically doomed similar initiatives.

Ultimately, the proposal offers Palestinians a conditional pathway to statehood, requiring them to build a state tailored to Israeli security needs amid complex political realities and challenging ground conditions.
https://www.thenews.com.pk/tns/detail/1348319-trumps-blurry-path-to-peace