Crypto Analyst Predicts Parabolic Altseason Within 4-6 Months Amid Key Market Catalysts
Crypto analyst @Ashcryptoreal has forecasted a potential parabolic altseason within the next four to six months. In a post on X dated October 26, 2025, the analyst highlighted that the total cryptocurrency market cap remains in a bullish trend, with panic sellers currently being flushed out ahead of the next major price movement.
### Macro Factors Supporting a Bullish Outlook
Several macroeconomic developments are aligning to support this optimistic forecast:
– **Expanding M2 Money Supply:** Historically, an increasing M2 money supply correlates with more liquidity flowing into risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
– **Federal Reserve Policy Shift:** The Fed is expected to end its quantitative tightening phase and possibly begin quantitative easing. Additionally, three to four interest rate cuts are anticipated within the next six months, which typically lowers borrowing costs and encourages institutional investment into crypto markets.
– **Strong Equities Market:** US equities are reaching all-time highs, signaling broader market optimism.
– **Gold Market Capitalization:** Gold’s market cap has soared to $30 trillion, potentially triggering capital rotation into Bitcoin. Investors often view Bitcoin as a digital alternative to gold, a pattern observed in previous market cycles where Bitcoin rallied after gold hit peak valuations.
– **Pending Altcoin ETFs:** There are currently 155 altcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) filings awaiting approval. These could be greenlit following a resolution to a potential government shutdown, paralleling the impactful Bitcoin ETF market entries earlier in 2025.
### Why Has Altseason Been Delayed?
Despite Bitcoin’s impressive 8.5x price increase from its November 2022 bottom of $15,400 to around $126,000, most altcoins have lagged behind. Only a select few, such as ONDO, FET, SUI, SOL, and BNB, have hit new all-time highs during the current cycle.
Ethereum, a key market barometer, hit its previous all-time high near $4,800 in Q3 2025 and touched around $4,900 in recent trading. Market analysts stress that Ethereum must decisively break and hold above the $5,000 mark before a true altseason can begin.
Investor caution remains high due to ongoing trade war tensions and tariff concerns throughout 2025. This uncertainty has pushed liquidity toward safer assets like gold, bonds, and top-tier stocks, delaying broader crypto market participation.
### Market Conditions Favoring Risk Assets
The present market setup closely resembles the patterns seen during the 2017 and 2021 bull runs. Typically, safer assets rally first, building trader confidence before liquidity gradually shifts toward riskier investments.
The flow of capital generally moves from Bitcoin to Ethereum, and then from large-cap altcoins to smaller-cap altcoins. With expected rate cuts, the end of quantitative tightening, and an easier monetary policy stance, liquidity is likely to return to risk assets — potentially propelling Bitcoin to new highs, followed by Ethereum.
Once Ethereum convincingly surpasses $5,000, analysts anticipate renewed capital inflows into altcoins.
### On-Chain and Sentiment Indicators
– **Bitcoin:** On-chain data shows a 15% increase in Bitcoin transfers to long-term holding wallets, indicating strong conviction among major holders. Trading volumes on leading exchanges reflect increased whale accumulation activity.
– **Ethereum:** The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently hovers around 55, signaling neutral momentum and leaving room for upward price movement without overbought pressure.
– **Market Sentiment:** Overall sentiment is shifting toward greed as these bullish catalysts emerge.
Bitcoin currently faces resistance at $70,000; a breakout above this key level could confirm the onset of a parabolic phase. Support levels have been identified around $60,000 for Bitcoin and $2,500 for Ethereum, which may serve as attractive entry points during potential market dips.
### The Impact of Altcoin ETFs
The substantial filing of 155 altcoin ETFs represents a significant development for the crypto market. If approved, these ETFs could have a transformative impact similar to the Bitcoin ETFs that drove billions of dollars in inflows earlier this year.
Altcoins such as Solana and Avalanche may experience increased volatility, with price swings exceeding 10% following positive regulatory or market news.
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In summary, with multiple macroeconomic factors aligning, easing monetary policies, growing institutional interest, and anticipated Ethereum price breakthroughs, the cryptocurrency market appears poised for a robust altseason within the next half-year according to analyst @Ashcryptoreal’s outlook. Investors should watch key price levels and regulatory developments closely for the next phase of market growth.
https://coincentral.com/analyst-predicts-4-month-altseason-as-fed-rate-cuts-and-m2-money-supply-rise/